Read James Wesley, Rawles's posts on the Penguin Blog
With the recent economic crisis, formerly unimaginable scenarios have become terrifyingly real possibilities-learn how to prepare for the worst
Global financial collapse, a terrorist attack, a natural catastrophe-all it takes is one event to disrupt our way of life. We could find ourselves facing myriad serious problems from massive unemployment to a food shortage to an infrastructure failure that cuts off our power or water supply. If something terrible happens, we won't be able to rely on the government or our communities. We'll have to take care of ourselves.
In How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It, James Rawles, founder of SurvivalBlog.com, clearly explains everything you need to know to protect yourself and your family in the event of a disaster-from radical currency devaluation to a nuclear threat to a hurricane. Rawles shares essential tactics and techniques for surviving completely on your own, including how much food is enough, how to filter rainwater, how to protect your money, which seeds to buy for your garden, why goats are a smart choice for livestock, and how to secure your home. It's the ultimate guide to total preparedness and self-reliance in a time of need.
Introduction
An Extremely Fragile Society
We live in a time of relative prosperity. Our health care is
excellent, our grocery-store shelves bulge with a huge
assortment of fresh foods, and our telecommunications
systems are lightning fast. We have cheap transportation,
with our cities linked by an elaborate and fairly well-maintained
system of roads, freeways, rails, canals, seaports, and airports.
For the first time in human history, the majority of the world’s
population now lives in cities.
But the downside to all this abundance is overcomplexity,
overspecialization, and overly long supply chains. In the First World, less than 2 percent of the population is engaged in agriculture
or fishing. Ponder that for a moment: Just 2 percent of
us are feeding the other 98 percent. The food on our tables
often comes from hundreds if not thousands of miles away.
Our heating and lighting are typically provided by power
sources hundreds of miles away. For many people, even their
tap water travels that far. Our factories produce sophisticated
cars and electronics that have subcomponents that are sourced
from three continents. The average American comes home
from work each day to find that his refrigerator is well-stocked
with food, his lights come on reliably, his telephone works,
his tap gushes pure water, his toilet flushes, his paycheck has
been automatically deposited to his bank, his garbage has
been collected, his house is a comfortable seventy degrees,
his televised entertainment is up and running 24/7, and his
Internet connection is rock solid. We’ve built a very Big Machine
that up until now has worked remarkably well, with just
a few glitches. But that may not always be the case. As Napoleon
found the hard way, long chains of supply and communication
are fragile and vulnerable. Someday the Big Machine
may grind to a halt.
Let me describe just one set of circumstances that could
cause that to happen:
Imagine the greatest of all influenza pandemics, spread by
casual contact—a virus so virulent that it kills more than half
of the people infected. And imagine the advance of a disease so
rapid that it makes its way around the globe in less than a week.
(Isn’t modern jet air travel grand?) Consider that we have global
news media that is so rabid for “hot” news that they can’t resist
showing pictures of men in respirators, rubber gloves, goggles,
and Tyvek coveralls wheeling gurneys out of houses, laden with body bags. These scenes will be repeated so many times
that the majority of citizens decides “I’m not going to go to
work tomorrow, or the day after, or in fact until after things get
better.” But by not going to work, some important cogs will be
missing from the Big Machine.
What will happen when the Big Machine is missing pieces?
Orders won’t get processed at the Wal-Mart distribution center.
The 18-wheelers won’t make deliveries to groceries stores. Gas
stations will run out of fuel. Some policemen and firemen won’t
show up for work, having decided that protecting their own
families is their top priority. Power lines will get knocked down
in windstorms, and there will be nobody to repair them. Crops
will rot in the fields and orchards because there will be nobody
to pick them, or transport them, or magically bake them into
Pop-Tarts, or stock them on your supermarket shelf. The Big
Machine will be broken.
Does this sound scary? Sure it does, and it should. The implications
are huge. But it gets worse: The average suburban
family has only about a week’s worth of food in their pantry.
Let’s say the pandemic continues for weeks or months on end—
what will they do when that food is gone and there is no reasonably
immediate prospect of resupply? Supermarket shelves will
be stripped bare. Faced with the prospect of staying home and
starving or going out to meet Mr. Influenza, millions of Joe
Americans will be forced to go out and “forage” for food. The
first likely targets will be restaurants, stores, and food-distribution
warehouses. As the crisis deepens, not a few “foragers”
will soon transition to full-scale looting, taking the little that
their neighbors have left. Next, they’ll move on to farms that
are in close proximity to cities. A few looters will form gangs
that will be highly mobile and well armed, ranging deeper and
deeper into farmlands, running their vehicles on surreptitiously
siphoned gasoline. Eventually their luck will run out and they
will all die of the flu, or of lead poisoning. But before the looters
are all dead they will do a tremendous amount of damage.
You must be ready for a coming crisis. Your life and the lives of
your loved ones will depend on it.
The New World and You
If and when the flu pandemic—or terrorist attack, or massive
currency devaluation, or some other unthinkable crisis—occurs,
things could turn very, very ugly all over the globe. Think
through all of the implications of disruption of key portions of
our modern technological infrastructure. You need to be able to
provide water, food, heating, and lighting for your family. Ditto
for law enforcement, since odds are that a pandemic will be
YOYO (You’re on your own!) time.
You’ll need to get your beans, bullets, and Band-Aids squared
away, pronto. Most important, you’ll need to be prepared to
hunker down for three or four months, with minimal outside
contact. That will take a lot of logistics, as well as plenty of
cash on hand to pay your bills in the absence of a continuing
income stream.
The Great Unraveling
As this book goes to press in the summer of 2009, we are witnessing
a global economy in deep, deep trouble. Artificially
low interest rates and artificially high residential real estate prices in many First World nations fueled a worldwide credit
bubble. That bubble burst in 2007, and the full effects of the
credit collapse are just now being felt. The resulting recession
might turn into an economic depression that could last more
than a decade.
The collapse of the credit default swaps (CDS) casino is indicative
of much larger systemic risk. These exotic hedges are
just one small part of the more than six-hundred-trillion-dollar
global derivatives market. There are other derivatives that are
just as dangerous. Veteran investor Warren Buffett called derivatives
“a ticking time bomb.” I concur.
All of the recent bad economic news and the advent of the
H1N1 flu call into question some of the basic assumptions
about living in a modern industrialized society. We are forced
to ask ourselves: How much stress can a society take before it
begins to unravel? How safe will our cities be in another year,
or in five years? Will supermarket shelves continue to be well
stocked with such a tremendous abundance and such a wide
assortment of goods?
With the information contained in this book, you can prepare
yourself to live independently (“off the grid”) for an extended
period of time. Self-sufficiency is the bottom line.
Please note that I make reference to some useful Web sites
throughout this book. If you aren’t on the Internet, you can access
these sites from free Internet terminals at most public libraries.
If any of these URLs are obsolete, then do Web searches
for their new URLs or comparable Web sites. For the sake of
brevity, I have used the SnipURL.com service to truncate the
longer URLs for Web sites mentioned in the book. These short
URLs will make it quick and easy for you to reference the Web
sites mentioned herein.
Also for the sake of brevity, I use a lot of acronyms in my
writings. Each acronym is spelled out the first time it is used,
and in this book’s glossary.
This book provides both a challenge and a response: Are you
truly ready for TEOTWAWKI? If not, then herein is what you’ll
need to know.
Read this book. Give it some prayer. Then get busy!